恳请有能力的大神帮助我翻译下，要求不高，能完全表达文意，没有语法错误，句式要求不高，简单句，复杂句 恳请有能力的大神帮助翻译一下，文字不长，全为步骤，只要无语法...
\u6073\u8bf7\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u4eba\u5e2e\u6211\u7ffb\u8bd1\u4e0b\u9762\u4e00\u6bb5\u6587\u5b57\uff0c\u5168\u4e3a\u6b65\u9aa4\uff0c\u96be\u5ea6\u7cfb\u6570\u4e0d\u5927\uff0c\u4f46\u8981\u6c42\u65e0\u8bed\u6cd5\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u7528\u8bcd\u51c6\u786e\u5373\u53ef\uff0c\u8c22\u8c22\uff01\u8bbe\u8ba1\u6a21\u578b\uff1a
The design model:
\u786e\u5b9a\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u53d8\u52a8\uff1a
To determine the seasonal variations:
\u7b2c\u96f6\u6b65\u548c\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b65\uff1a
\u56e0\u4e3a\u6240\u7ed9\u7684\u8d44\u6599\u662f\u6309\u6708\u4efd\u8fdb\u884c\u5212\u5206\u7684\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4eec\u91c7\u752812\u6b21\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u6570\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5728\u8ba1\u7b97\u8c03\u6574\u540e\u7684\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u6570\u3002\u5c06\u9500\u552e\u91cf\u4e0e\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u6570\u8fdb\u884c\u6bd4\u8f83\uff08\u5728XY\u6563\u70b9\u56fe\u4e0a\uff09\u3002
Step 0 and step 1:
Because of the given information is being divided by each month, therefore we have to do the calculation of the average movement values 12 times then work out the average movement value after the adjustment to compare the sales with the movement value.
\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b65\uff1a
\u7528\u8c03\u6574\u540e\u7684\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u6570\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6307\u6570\u3002\u516c\u5f0f\u4e3a\uff08round(sales/ma 12,2)
Step 2:
Use the adjusted movement value to calculate the seasonal index. The formula is\uff08round(sales/ma 12,2).
\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b65\uff1a
\u6839\u636e\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6307\u6570\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\u9884\u671f\u7684\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6570\u3002
Step 3:
Work out the medium of the forecast period according to the seasonal index.
\u7b2c\u56db\u6b65\uff1a
\u5229\u7528\u9884\u671f\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6570\u4e58\u4ee5\u5b9e\u9645\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6570\u4e4b\u548c\u9664\u4ee5\u9884\u671f\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6570\u4e4b\u548c\uff0c\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\u9884\u671f\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6570\u3002
\u786e\u5b9a\u8d8b\u52bf\u53d8\u5316\uff1a
Step 4:
Use the medium of the forecast period to time the actual medium and divide by the sum of the forecast period's mediums to work out the medium of the forecast period.
\u7b2c\u4e94\u6b65\uff1a
\u5229\u7528\u7ecf\u5178\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u4e2d\u7684\u4e58\u6cd5\u516c\u5f0f\u8ba1\u7b97\u8d8b\u52bf\u503c\uff08\u5728\u6392\u9664\u5faa\u73af\u53d8\u52a8\u548c\u968f\u673a\u53d8\u52a8\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff09.
Step 5:
Use the multiplication formula of the classic time series to calculate the trend value (under the circumstances without the cyclical fluctuation and random changes)
\u7b2c\u516d\u6b65\uff1a
\u901a\u8fc7\u516c\u5f0f\u8ba1\u7b97\u659c\u7387\u548c\u622a\u8ddd\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\u6700\u4f73\u79bb\u5408\u7ebf\uff08\u5254\u9664\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u79bb\u5408\u7ebf\uff09\u3002
Step 6:
Through using of the slope and intercept calculation formula to work out the best clutch line (the best clutch line after taking away the seasonal factors)
\u6d4b\u8bd5\uff08\u5b9e\u9645\uff09
Testing (Actual)
\u7b2c\u4e03\u6b65\uff1a
\u5229\u7528\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6307\u6570\uff08Tt\uff09\u548c\u8d8b\u52bf\u53d8\u52a8\uff08Tt\uff09\u7684\u4e58\u79ef\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\u51fa\u9884\u671f\u9500\u552e\u91cf\u7684\u503c\u3002
Step 7;
Use the product of the seaonal index (Tt) and the trend variation(Tt) to work out the value of the forecast sales.
\u7b2c\u516b\u6b65\uff1a
\u901a\u8fc7XY\u6563\u70b9\u56fe\u6765\u6bd4\u8f83\u7b2c\u56db\u5e74\u9884\u671f\u9500\u91cf\u548c\u5b9e\u9645\u9500\u91cf\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u3002
Step 8:
Use the XY scattered points diagram to compare the 4th year's forecast sales and its actual sales and find out their difference.
\u7b2c\u4e5d\u6b65\uff1a
\u901a\u8fc7\u8ba1\u7b97\u7edd\u5bf9\u8bef\u5dee\u548c\u7edd\u5bf9\u65b9\u5dee\u6765\u6c42\u51faMAE\u548cMSE\u3002
Step 9:
Through the calculation of the absolute error and the absolute variance to find the values of MAE and MSE.
\u7b2c\u5341\u6b65\uff1a
\u8ba1\u7b97\u57285%\u663e\u8457\u6027\u6c34\u5e73\u548c\u81ea\u7531\u5ea6\u4e3a11\u65f6\u7684\u5361\u65b9\u503c\u4e3a19.68.
Step 10:
To work out when the significant level 5%, degree of freedom is 11 and the Chi-square value is 19.68.
Reactions to the government's prices controlling policy
我认为在政府限制价格的措施上有好有坏。首先在大多数情况下，政府的减价措施是不好的。如我之前所说的限价会出现一定的员工流失、失业率上升、社会福利的损失、资源配置效率低下、短时间内的市场价格失灵，会干预一些有远见的预期通货膨胀等等。
I personally think that there are good and bad in the government's prices controlling policy. First of all, in most circumstances, government's price reduction policy is bad. Like I have mentioned early on that prices control would lead to job losses, increases the unemployment rate, losses in social benefits, inefficiency of resource allocations and would create short term pricing inabilities. It would disturb the foreseeable anticipated inflation etc.
然而在对于汽油限价上我觉得首先汽油的价格首先是由世界石油组织制定分配到各个国家，我国经过统一价格后由国家发改委制定面向大众的价格，所以汽油这种东西只涨不降。
However, to the controlled prices on petrol, I think that the petrol prices were first set and alocated to all the countries form the oil producing organizations. Our country through the unified prices then would be formulated by the national development and reform commission (NDRC) for the general public. Therefore, the things like petrol, their prices will only go up and would not come down.
然而我们知道物价上涨的原因在于总需求过度增长，总供给不足，或是物品与劳务的需求超过按现行的价格可得到的供给，因而一般物价水平上涨。对于石油这种对于汽车不可缺少的东西，当价格无限期的上涨时同样会出现物价水平的上升以及增加 一定的失业率。
But we also know that the reason for the prices to go up is their excessive growth in total demand, the total supplies is inadequate or the products and the labour demand more than available supplies at the current prices. Therefore, it causes the general prices level to go up. To the commodities like petrol, which all vehicle can not do without, when their prices continue to increase, they can cause all other prices level to rise (inflation) and a certain increase to the unemployment.
为了避免事态加剧的政府会出台一系列的调控、限制。在经济学上政府限价措施是违背市场经济规律的政策干预，许多专家也说过“政府需要考虑到CPI、国内消费者接受程度、企业利润情况等等问题，再作定夺”。
In order not to let the situations get worsen, some government will put forward a string of regulations and restrictions. In the economy, government's controlling procedure is an intervention policy that is against the economic market's law. Many experts had said before that "governments have to consider about CPI, domestic consumers' acceptable degrees, enterprises' profits situations and so on matters, before deciding their actions."
然而我觉首先得依据国情，中国这几年的经济发展离不开政府宏观调控。能够稳定物价，人民也受益才是关键所在。
But I think that the first thing should be according to the domestic situations. China's economic development in recent year can never be separated forom the government's macroeconomic regulation and control. To be able to stabilize prices and benefit the population then that's all it matters.
综上所述，政府的限价措施虽然不能从本质上解决问题、甚至违背经济学原理。但是从稳定物价、控制市场所得到结果来看还是非常合理的。
In conclusion, Although government's interventions cannot fundamentally solve the problems, even against the principle of economy, from in view of stable the prices and control the markets, the results are quite reasonable.
这一道题的确过长，平时我是不会回答的，但已答应了帮你，就勉为其难了。而你似乎重复了这条提问，我将会在两处交上答案，请一定要一起采纳，谢谢你。
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