中美贸易战的原因、特点、影响及应对 谈谈中美贸易战的原因,以及如何避免贸易战?
\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7ecf\u8d38\u5173\u7cfb\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e24\u4e2a\u5927\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u201c\u538b\u8231\u77f3\u201d\u548c\u201c\u7a33\u5b9a\u5668\u201d\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u4eca\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u91c7\u53d6\u5355\u8fb9\u4e3b\u4e49\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u6311\u8d77\u8d38\u6613\u6218\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u8d38\u6613\u6469\u64e6\u548c\u4e89\u7aef\u4e0d\u65ad\u5347\u7ea7\u3002\u4eca\u5e743\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u70ae\u5236\u51fa\u6240\u8c13301\u8c03\u67e5\u62a5\u544a\u30027\u67086\u65e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0d\u987e\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u53cd\u5bf9\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd340\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u8f93\u7f8e\u4ea7\u54c1\u52a0\u5f8125%\u5173\u7a0e\u30028\u670823\u65e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u53e6\u5916160\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u4e2d\u56fd\u8f93\u7f8e\u4ea7\u54c1\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4e3a\u7ef4\u62a4\u6b63\u5f53\u6743\u76ca\uff0c\u53ca\u65f6\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u53cd\u5236\u63aa\u65bd\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5355\u65b9\u9762\u6311\u8d77\u8d38\u6613\u6218\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4e25\u91cd\u5a01\u80c1\u4e2d\u7f8e\u53cc\u8fb9\u7ecf\u8d38\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e5f\u6709\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5982\u4f55\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6469\u64e6\uff1f\u5982\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u6311\u8d77\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\uff1f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u5f15\u8d77\u793e\u4f1a\u5404\u754c\u5173\u6ce8\u3002
\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7ecf\u8d38\u5408\u5219\u4e24\u5229\u3001\u6597\u5219\u4ff1\u4f24
1979\u5e74\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5efa\u4ea4\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u53cc\u8fb9\u5173\u7cfb\u5168\u9762\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u7ecf\u8d38\u5408\u4f5c\u5feb\u901f\u63a8\u8fdb\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u4f18\u52bf\u4e92\u8865\u3001\u5229\u76ca\u4ea4\u878d\u3001\u4e92\u5229\u4e92\u60e0\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u683c\u5c40\u3002\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7ecf\u8d38\u5173\u7cfb\u672c\u8d28\u4e0a\u662f\u4e92\u5229\u5171\u8d62\u7684\uff0c\u5171\u540c\u5229\u76ca\u8fdc\u5927\u4e8e\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u5408\u5219\u4e24\u5229\uff0c\u6597\u5219\u4ff1\u4f24\u3002\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7ecf\u8d38\u5173\u7cfb\u7a33\u5b9a\u4e0e\u5426\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4e8b\u5173\u4e2d\u7f8e\u53cc\u65b9\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e8b\u5173\u4e16\u754c\u53d1\u5c55\u3002
\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7ecf\u8d38\u5408\u4f5c\u5177\u6709\u5168\u9762\u6027\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e92\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u8d27\u7269\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u6700\u5927\u8d27\u7269\u51fa\u53e3\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u7b2c\u516d\u5927\u8fdb\u53e3\u56fd\uff0c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u51fa\u53e3\u5360\u6211\u56fd\u603b\u51fa\u53e3\u768419%\u30022017\u5e74\u4e2d\u7f8e\u53cc\u8fb9\u8d27\u7269\u8d38\u6613\u989d\u8fbe\u52305837\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u662f1979\u5e74\u4e24\u56fd\u5efa\u4ea4\u65f6\u7684233\u500d\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u6700\u5feb\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u636e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u7edf\u8ba1\uff0c2017\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u534e\u8d27\u7269\u51fa\u53e31299\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6bd42001\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u4e86557%\uff0c\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u5168\u7403112%\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u589e\u5e45\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u768462%\u7684\u5927\u8c46\u300125%\u7684\u98de\u673a\u300117%\u7684\u6c7d\u8f66\u300115%\u7684\u96c6\u6210\u7535\u8def\u548c14%\u7684\u68c9\u82b1\uff0c\u90fd\u9500\u5230\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u670d\u52a1\u8d38\u6613\u5728\u53cc\u8fb9\u7ecf\u8d38\u5408\u4f5c\u4e2d\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u65e5\u76ca\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u636e\u7f8e\u65b9\u7edf\u8ba1\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u53cc\u8fb9\u670d\u52a1\u8d38\u6613\u989d\u4ece2007\u5e74\u7684249.4\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u589e\u81f32017\u5e74\u7684750.5\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5bf9\u534e\u670d\u52a1\u51fa\u53e3\u989d\u4ece131.4\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u589e\u81f3576.3\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u589e\u957f\u4e863.4\u500d\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u670d\u52a1\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u670d\u52a1\u51fa\u53e3\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u518d\u6b21\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u6295\u8d44\u89c4\u6a21\u5de8\u5927\u3002\u622a\u81f32017\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u534e\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u8d44\u7d2f\u8ba1\u8d85\u8fc7830\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5728\u534e\u7f8e\u8d44\u4f01\u4e1a\u7ea6\u4e3a6.8\u4e07\u5bb6\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u6295\u8d44\u5b58\u91cf\u7ea6\u4e3a670\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u91cf\u6295\u8d44\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u91d1\u878d\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u6301\u6709\u8d85\u8fc71\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\uff0c\u662f\u6301\u6709\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6700\u591a\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002
\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u94a2\u94c1\u5de5\u4eba\u8054\u5408\u4f1a\u501f\u53e3\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8f6e\u80ce\u51fa\u53e3\u6270\u4e71\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u63d0\u51fa\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ea7\u4e58\u7528\u8f66\u8f6e\u80ce\u53d1\u8d77\u7279\u4fdd\u8c03\u67e5\u7684\u7533\u8bf7\u3002\u5e76\u79f0\uff0c\u82e5\u4e0d\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u8f6e\u80ce\u91c7\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5230\u4eca\u5e74\u5e95\u8fd8\u4f1a\u6709\u4e09\u5343\u540d\u7f8e\u56fd\u5de5\u4eba\u5931\u53bb\u5de5\u4f5c\u30026\u670829\u65e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5efa\u8bae\u5728\u73b0\u884c\u8fdb\u53e3\u5173\u7a0e(3.4%-4.0%)\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u8f93\u7f8e\u4e58\u7528\u8f66\u4e0e\u8f7b\u578b\u5361\u8f66\u8f6e\u80ce\u8fde\u7eed3\u5e74\u5206\u522b\u52a0\u5f8155%\u300145%\u548c35%\u7684\u7279\u522b\u4ece\u4ef7\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u4f46\u7f8e\u56fd\u8f6e\u80ce\u5de5\u4e1a\u534f\u4f1a\u6267\u884c\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7f57\u4f0a.\u5229\u7279\u83f2\u5c14\u5fb7\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c31\u4e1a\uff0c\u53ea\u4f1a\u8ba9\u8f6e\u80ce\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u5c06\u5382\u623f\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u5176\u5b83\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u6545\u6b64\u6848\u906d\u5230\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e1a\u754c\u7684\u5e7f\u6cdb\u53cd\u5bf9\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5546\u52a1\u90e8\u5b98\u5458\u4ea6\u5c31\u6b64\u591a\u6b21\u4e0e\u7f8e\u65b9\u76f8\u5173\u90e8\u95e8\u8fdb\u884c\u4ea4\u6d89
绛旓細2.涓編璐告槗鎴樼殑鍘熷洜 2.1涓編璐告槗寰鏉ユ牸灞鐨勫彉鍖栵紝璐告槗鍏崇郴鐢变簰琛ユц浆鍚戠珵浜夊瀷 灏嗙洰鍏夋斁鍥炲崄骞翠箣鍓锛屼腑鍥借櫧宸叉敼闈╁紑鏀句笁鍗佸勾锛屼絾鍦ㄥ澶栬锤鏄撴柟闈粛鐒朵互浣庣鎶浣庨檮鍔犲肩殑鍔冲姩瀵嗛泦鍨嬨佸師鏉愭枡瀵嗛泦鍨嬩骇涓氫负涓伙紝濡傞挗閾佸嚭鍙ｃ佹湇瑁呭姞宸ャ佺數瀛愬厓浠剁粍瑁呯瓑锛屼腑闂翠骇鍝佹墍鍗犳瘮閲嶈緝澶с傜浉姣斾箣涓嬶紝缇庡浗鐢变簬闀挎湡缁忔祹绻佽崳鍜岀...
绛旓細1. 缁忔祹鍏ㄧ悆鍖栦笌璺ㄥ浗鍏徃鐨勫奖鍝嶏細鍏ㄧ悆渚涘簲閾剧殑绱у瘑鑱旂郴浣垮緱涓編涓ゅ浗缁忔祹楂樺害鐩镐簰渚濆瓨锛岃法鍥藉叕鍙稿湪鍏ㄧ悆鑼冨洿鍐呭姹傛垚鏈渶浼樺鑷磋锤鏄撲笉骞宠 銆2. 璐告槗淇濇姢涓讳箟鐨勬姮澶达細缇庡浗鍥藉唴鏀挎不鍘嬪姏鍜岄変妇鍛ㄦ湡甯稿父瀵艰嚧璐告槗淇濇姢涓讳箟鏀跨瓥鐨勫嚭鐜帮紝濡傛彁楂樺叧绋庡拰璁剧疆璐告槗澹佸瀿銆3. 鏀挎不鍥犵礌锛氱編鍥芥斂鐣屽拰鍒╃泭闆嗗洟瀵逛腑鍥藉揩閫熷闀跨殑鍑哄彛...
绛旓細涓編璐告槗绾犵悍锛屽張绉颁腑缇庤锤鏄撴垬锛涓編璐告槗鎽╂摝.鏄腑缇庣粡娴庡叧绯讳腑鐨勯噸瑕侀棶棰.璐告槗绾犵悍涓昏鍙戠敓鍦ㄤ袱涓柟闈㈣緝浼樺娍鐨勫嚭鍙ｉ鍩锛屼簩鏄腑鍥芥病鏈変紭鍔跨殑杩涘彛鍜屾妧鏈煡璇嗛鍩.鍓嶈呭熀鏈珵浜夛紝鍚庤呭競鍦轰笉瀹屽叏鍙戞尌浣滅敤锛屽涓ゅ浗缁忔祹绂忓埄鍜岄暱鏈熷彂灞曠殑褰卞搷涓嶅悓.閭ｄ箞锛屼负浠涔堜細鍙戠敓涓編璐告槗鎴樺憿锛熻锤鏄撴懇鎿︾殑缁忔祹鍒嗘瀽 璧电懢琛ㄧず锛屼腑...
绛旓細鍏蜂綋鐨勫師鍥犲垎鏋愬涓嬶細锛1锛変腑缇庤锤鏄撻嗗樊澧炲ぇ锛氳繖鏄編鍥藉彂鍔ㄤ腑缇庤锤鏄撴垬鐨勭洿鎺ュ師鍥銆傚綋鍓嶇編鍥界ぞ浼氱粡娴庡彂灞曚腑锛屼汉浠殑鍌ㄨ搫鎰忔効杈冧綆锛屾洿鍔犲惧悜浜庢秷璐癸紝鍥芥皯浜哄潎鍌ㄨ搫姘村钩浣庯紝鑰屼腑鍥芥伆濂界浉鍙嶏紝涓浗鍥芥皯缁忔祹鍙戝睍涓紝浜轰滑鏈夌潃寰堝ソ鐨勫偍钃勮鍒掞紝鍦ㄤ笉褰卞搷姝ｅ父娑堣垂鎯呭喌鐨勫墠鎻愪笅锛屼篃鑳藉寰堝ソ鐨勫瓨閽憋紝涓浗鍥芥皯浜哄潎鍌ㄨ搫姘村钩杈冮珮...
绛旓細涓編璐告槗鎴樼殑鍚庢灉鏄繁杩滅殑銆瀵圭編鍥借岃█锛屽姞寰佸叧绋庝娇寰楃敓浜ф垚鏈笂鍗囷紝鍟嗗搧浠锋牸娉㈠姩锛屾秷璐硅呭拰浼佷笟鐨勫帇鍔涘嶅銆傚湪涓浗锛屽嚭鍙ｅ彈闃诲拰灏变笟宀椾綅鐨勬祦澶辩洿鎺ュ奖鍝嶄簡缁忔祹澧為暱銆傚叏鐞冭寖鍥村唴锛岀粡娴庡瀹朵滑鏅亶鎸囧嚭锛岃繖鍦鸿锤鏄撴懇鎿︿笌鍏ㄧ悆璐告槗鏀剧紦鍜岀粡娴庡闀挎斁缂撴湁鐫绱у瘑鐨勫叧鑱斻傜珛鍦轰笌浜夌鐨勭劍鐐 鐭ヨ瘑浜ф潈淇濇姢鍜屾妧鏈浆璁╂槸杩欏満...
绛旓細缇庡浗瑙﹀彂涓編璐告槗鎴樼殑鏍规湰鍔ㄥ洜鍦ㄤ簬淇濇姢鍏跺浗瀹跺埄鐩婏紝鑰岀洿鎺ュ鐏储鍒欐槸涓編涔嬮棿宸ㄥぇ鐨勮锤鏄撻嗗樊銆傛繁鍏ュ垎鏋鍘熷洜锛鍙互褰掔粨涓轰互涓嬪嚑鐐癸細锛1锛 涓編璐告槗涓嶅钩琛￠棶棰樻縺鍖栵細缇庡浗瀵瑰崕璐告槗閫嗗樊涓嶆柇鎵╁ぇ锛屾垚涓哄紩鍙戣锤鏄撴懇鎿︾殑鐩存帴璇卞洜銆傜編鍥藉浗鍐呮秷璐规椇鐩涜屽偍钃勭巼杈冧綆锛岃屼腑鍥藉垯鎭版伆鐩稿弽锛岄珮鍌ㄨ搫鐜囧弽鏄犲嚭涓浗绀句細鐨勬秷璐瑰惧悜杈...
绛旓細1銆佸埄鐩婃暡璇堛傞氳繃璐告槗鎴樻垨鍙戝姩璐告槗鎴樼殑濞佽儊锛岃揩浣胯锤鏄撲紮浼村紑鏀惧競鍦恒佽娓＄粡娴庡埄鐩婏紝鏄編鍥界殑鎯敤浼庝咯锛屼互寰鏇剧粡瀵瑰涓浗瀹朵娇鐢ㄨ繃銆傚敖绠＄編鍥戒粠涓編鍙岃竟鍚堜綔涓彇寰椾簡宸ㄥぇ缁忔祹鍒╃泭銆備絾缇庡浗鏀跨晫涓浜涗汉鍗翠互闆跺拰鍗氬紙瑙傜偣鐪嬪緟鍙岃竟缁忚锤鍚堜綔锛屾妸鍥藉唴鏀跺叆宸窛鎵╁ぇ绛夊唴閮ㄩ棶棰樺綊鍜庝簬鈥滀腑鍥芥姠澶轰簡灏变笟鏈轰細鈥濓紝鎶婄敱浜庡偍钃勭巼...
绛旓細1銆侀鍏锛屼腑缇庤锤鏄撴垬缁欐垜鍥界殑鍑哄彛閫犳垚浜嗕弗閲鐨勫奖鍝嶏紝鍥犱负涓浗瀵圭編鍥界殑鍑哄彛棰濊繙澶т簬浠庣編鍥界殑杩涘彛棰濓紝鍘诲勾鍑哄彛棰濊揪鍒4297浜跨編鍏冿紝杩涘彛棰濅负1539浜跨編鍏冿紝瀵圭編璐告槗椤哄樊杈惧埌2758浜跨編鍏冿紝鍒涘巻鍙叉柊楂樸傜編鍥界幇鍦ㄥ鎴戝浗寰堝鍝佺鐨勫嚭鍙ｄ骇鍝佹彁楂樺叧绋庯紝鍚屾椂瀵规垜鍥藉ぇ瀹楀嚭鍙ｅ晢鍝佸紑灞曞弻鍙嶈皟鏌ワ紝杩欎細瀵规垜鍥界殑鍑哄彛浼佷笟閫犳垚涓ラ噸鐨...
绛旓細涓編璐告槗鎽╂摝涔熺О涓編璐告槗浜夌锛屽嵆涓編璐告槗鎴橈紝鏄腑缇庣粡娴庡叧绯讳腑鐨勯噸瑕侀棶棰樸傝锤鏄撲簤绔富瑕佸彂鐢熷湪涓や釜鏂归潰锛氫竴鏄腑鍥藉叿鏈夋瘮杈冧紭鍔跨殑鍑哄彛棰嗗煙锛涗簩鏄腑鍥芥病鏈変紭鍔跨殑杩涘彛鍜屾妧鏈煡璇嗛鍩熴傚墠鑰呭熀鏈笂鏄珵浜夋х殑锛岃屽悗鑰呮槸甯傚満涓嶅畬鍏ㄨ捣浣滅敤鐨勶紝瀹冧滑瀵逛袱鍥界粡娴庣鍒╁拰闀挎湡鍙戝睍鐨勫奖鍝鏄笉鍚岀殑銆備腑缇庣粡璐稿叧绯讳竴鐩存槸涓編...
