根据中国科学家的什么未来二十到一百年中国 中国著名科学家
\u6700\u8fd1\u4e09\u767e\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u591a\u5c11\u4eba\u6210\u4ed9\u4e86\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u9f99\u9a91\u58eb\u4e86\u548c\u6cd5\u795e\uff0c\u5251\u795e\u4e86\uff1f\u6210\u4ed9\u7684\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709 \u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u4e0d\u591f\u52aa\u529b \uff01\uff01\u9f99\u9a91\u58eb\u6ca1\u6709\uff0c\u9f99\u85cf\u8d77\u6765\u627e\u4e0d\u5230\u3002\u5251\u795e\u6ca1\u6709\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u5f88\u5c11\u94c1\u5320\u7ed9\u4f60\u94f8\u5251\u4e86\uff0c\u90fd\u5728\u9020\u624b\u67aa\u3002\u6cd5\u795e\u4f30\u8ba1\u6709\uff0c\u591a\u5c11\u4eba\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u4f60\u770b\u897f\u65b9\u90a3\u4e48\u591a\u9b54\u672f\u5e08\uff0c\u603b\u6709\u4e00\u4e24\u4e2a\u5427\uff01 \u8d31\u795e\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053 \u6211\u5e94\u8be5\u7b97\u4e00\u4e2a\uff0c\u67aa\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u6253\u4ed7\u90fd\u4e0d\u600e\u4e48\u7528\u67aa\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u5bfc\u5f39\u5766\u514b\u751f\u5316\u822a\u6bcd\u7684..\u6240\u4ee5..
1957\u5e74\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5956\u83b7\u5f97\u8005\u6768\u632f\u5b81
1976\u5e74\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5956\u83b7\u5f97\u8005\u4e01\u8087\u4e2d
1997\u5e74\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5956\u83b7\u5f97\u8005\u6731\u68e3\u6587
1998\u5e74\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5956\u83b7\u5f97\u8005\u5d14\u7426
1998\u5e74\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5956\u83b7\u5f97\u8005\u5d14\u7426
1986\u5e74\u5ea6\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5316\u5b66\u5956\u83b7\u5f97\u8005\u674e\u8fdc\u54f2
\u8d1d\u5c14\u5956\u81ea1901\u5e74\u9881\u53d1\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5171\u6709\u516d\u4f4d\u534e\u4eba\u83b7\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u79d1\u5b66\u5956\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5206\u522b\u662f\u674e\u653f\u9053\u3001\u6768\u632f\u5b81\u3001\u4e01\u8087\u4e2d\u3001\u674e\u8fdc\u54f2\u3001\u6731\u68e3\u6587\u548c\u5d14\u7426 \u3002
1957\u5e74\uff0c\u674e\u653f\u9053\u548c\u6768\u632f\u5b81\u56e0\u201c\u53d1\u73b0\u5b87\u79f0\u539f\u7406\u7684\u7834\u574f\u201d\u800c\u88ab\u6388\u4e88\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5956\u3002
1976\u5e74\u4e01\u8087\u4e2d\u56e0\u201c\u53d1\u73b0\u4e00\u7c7b\u65b0\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u7c92\u5b50\u201d\u800c\u83b7\u5f97\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5956\u3002
1986\u5e74\u674e\u8fdc\u54f2\u56e0\u201c\u53d1\u660e\u4e86\u4ea4\u53c9\u5206\u5b50\u675f\u65b9\u6cd5\u4f7f\u8be6\u7ec6\u4e86\u89e3\u5316\u5b66\u53cd\u5e94\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u6210\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u4e3a\u7814\u7a76\u5316\u5b66\u65b0\u9886\u57df\u2014\u53cd\u5e94\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u4f5c\u51fa\u8d21\u732e\u201d\u800c\u83b7\u5f97\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5316\u5b66\u5956\u3002
1997\u5e74\u6731\u68e3\u6587\u56e0\u201c\u53d1\u660e\u4e86\u7528\u6fc0\u5149\u51b7\u5374\u548c\u4fd8\u83b7\u539f\u5b50\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u201d\u8363\u83b7\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5956\u3002
1998\u5e74\uff0c\u5d14\u7426\u4e0e\u5fb7\u56fd\u7684\u970d\u65af\u7279\u00b7\u65af\u6258\u5c14\u9ed8\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u52b3\u514b\u6797\u56e0\u5728\u91cf\u5b50\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u505a\u51fa\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u8d21\u732e\u800c\u83b7\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5956\u3002 \u674e\u653f\u9053
\u4e00\u3001\u751f\u5e73\u7b80\u4ecb
\u674e\u653f\u9053(Tsung-Dal Lee 1926\uff5e)\u7406\u8bba\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5bb6\u30021926\u5e7411\u670825\u65e5\u751f\u4e8e\u4e0a\u6d77\u30021943\uff5e1944\u5e74\u5728\u6d59\u6c5f\u5927\u5b66\uff08\u5f53\u65f6\u4e00\u5e74\u7ea7\u5728\u8d35\u5dde\u6c38\u5174\uff09\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u7cfb\u5b66\u4e60\uff1b\u5f97\u5230\u8001\u5e08\u675f\u661f\u5317\u7684\u542f\u8fea\uff0c\u800c\u5f00\u59cb\u4e86\u4ed6\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u751f\u6daf\u30021944\u5e74\u56e0\u7ffb\u8f66\u53d7\u4f24\u505c\u5b66\u30021945\u5e74\u8f6c\u5b66\u5230\u6606\u660e\u897f\u5357\u8054\u5408\u5927\u5b66\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u7cfb\u30021946\u5e74\u53d7\u4ed6\u7684\u8001\u5e08\u5434\u5927\u7337\u7684\u63a8\u8350\uff0c\u5f97\u56fd\u5bb6\u5956\u5b66\u91d1\uff0c\u53bb\u7f8e\u56fd\u6df1\u9020\uff0c\u5165\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5927\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u9662\uff0c1948\u5e74\u6625\u5929\uff0c\u674e\u653f\u9053\u901a\u8fc7\u4e86\u7814\u7a76\u751f\u8d44\u683c\u8003\u8bd5\uff0c\u5f00\u59cb\u5728\u8d39\u7c73\u7684\u6307\u5bfc\u4e0b\u4f5c\u535a\u58eb\u8bba\u6587\u7814\u7a76\u3002
1949\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u5728\u8d39\u7c73\u7684\u6307\u5bfc\u4e0b\uff0c\u674e\u653f\u9053\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u5173\u4e8e\u767d\u77ee\u661f\u7684\u535a\u58eb\u8bba\u6587\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u535a\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\u3002\u4ee5\u540e\u5728\u8be5\u6821\u5929\u6587\u5b66\u7cfb\u534a\u5e74\u548c\u52a0\u5229\u798f\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\uff08\u4f2f\u514b\u83b1\uff09\u7269\u7406\u7cfb\u4e00\u5e74\u4efb\u8bb2\u5e08\u5e76\u4ece\u4e8b\u7814\u7a76\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002
1950\u5e74\uff0c\u674e\u653f\u9053\u548c\u6765\u81ea\u4e0a\u6d77\u7684\u5927\u5b66\u751f\u79e6\u60e0\u541b\u7ed3\u5a5a\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u5b69\u5b50\uff0c\u957f\u5b50\u674e\u4e2d\u6e05\uff0c\u73b0\u4efb\u52a0\u5dde\u7406\u5de5\u5b66\u9662\u5386\u53f2\u6559\u6388\uff1b\u6b21\u5b50\u674e\u4e2d\u6c49\uff0c\u73b0\u4efb\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5927\u5b66\u5316\u5b66\u7cfb\u52a9\u7406\u6559\u6388\u30021951\u5e74\u5230\u666e\u6797\u65af\u987f\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u5de5\u4f5c\u30021953\u5e74\u4efb\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u52a9\u7406\u6559\u6388\uff0c1955\u5e74\u4efb\u526f\u6559\u6388\uff0c1956\u5e74\u4efb\u6559\u6388\uff0c1957\u5e74\u83b7\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5956\uff0c1960\uff5e1963\u5e74\u4efb\u666e\u6797\u65af\u987f\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u6559\u6388\u517c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u30021963\u5e74\u4efb\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u8bb2\u5ea7\u6559\u6388\uff0c1964\u5e74\u4efb\u8be5\u5927\u5b66\u8d39\u7c73\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u8bb2\u5ea7\u6559\u6388\uff0c1983\u5e74\u4efb\u8be5\u5927\u5b66\u5168\u6821\u8bb2\u5ea7\u6559\u6388\u3002\u4ed6\u8fd8\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u79d1\u5b66\u9662\u9662\u58eb\u3002
\u6768\u632f\u5b81:\u628a\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u5b66\u751f\u53d8\u6210\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u4eba\u624d
\u6768\u632f\u5b81\uff1a1922\u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u4e8e\u5b89\u5fbd\u30021957\u5e74\u4e0e\u674e\u653f\u9053\u5171\u540c\u83b7\u5f97\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5956\u3002
\u56de\u987e20\u4e16\u7eaa\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u6768\u632f\u5b81\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e3b\u8981\u6210\u5c31\u4f53\u73b0\u57283\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\uff1a\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e86\u63a7\u5236\u7535\u5b50\u7684\u884c\u52a8\uff1b\u53d1\u73b0\u4e86\u7814\u7a76\u6781\u5c0f\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1b\u79bb\u5f00\u4e86\u5730\u7403\u5f15\u529b\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u767b\u6708\u68a6\u60f3\u3002
\u5c55\u671b21\u4e16\u7eaa\uff0c\u6768\u632f\u5b81\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u4e8e21\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e2d\u53f6\u6210\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u79d1\u6280\u5927\u56fd\u3002\u201c\u6211\u8fd9\u6837\u8bf4\u539f\u56e0\u6709\u56db\uff1a\u4e00\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u6570\u4e0d\u6e05\u7684\u7edd\u9876\u806a\u660e\u53ca\u53ef\u5851\u9020\u6027\u5f3a\u7684\u5e74\u8f7b\u4e00\u4ee3\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u79d1\u6280\u53d1\u5c55\u4e4b\u9996\u8981\u524d\u63d0\u3002\u4e8c\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u5112\u5bb6\u601d\u60f3\u5728\u91cd\u4eba\u4f26\u548c\u52e4\u4fed\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e5f\u91cd\u89c6\u6559\u80b2\uff0c\u52bf\u5fc5\u4ee4\u4e0a\u8ff0\u4eba\u624d\u5927\u6709\u53ef\u4e3a\u3002\u4e09\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u767e\u5e74\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d70\u51fa\u4e86\u56fa\u6b65\u81ea\u5c01\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u53d6\u800c\u4ee3\u4e4b\u7684\u662f\u5bf9\u8fd1\u4ee3\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u70ed\u5ff1\u3002\u56db\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u5185\u5730\u3001\u9999\u6e2f\u3001\u53f0\u6e7e\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8fc5\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u4e3a\u79d1\u6280\u53d1\u5c55\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u7684\u540e\u76fe\u3002\u201d
\u6768\u632f\u5b81\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u534e\u4eba\u6c11\u5171\u548c\u56fd\u5efa\u56fd\u5341\u51e0\u5e74\u5c31\u6210\u529f\u7814\u5236\u51fa\u539f\u5b50\u5f39\uff0c\u4ece\u90a3\u65f6\u5c31\u57f9\u80b2\u548c\u79ef\u7d2f\u4e86\u4e00\u5927\u6279\u57fa\u7840\u4eba\u624d\u3002\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u662f\u6709\u5f88\u9ad8\u7d20\u8d28\u7684\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u6e05\u534e\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u751f\u6e90\u5c31\u4e0d\u6bd4\u7f8e\u56fd\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u5dee\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u8003\u8651\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u600e\u6837\u628a\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u751f\u6e90\u53d8\u6210\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u4eba\u624d\u3002\u201d\u6768\u8868\u793a\u6709\u4fe1\u5fc3\u968f\u7740\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u79d1\u7814\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u7ee7\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u534e\u88d4\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u672c\u571f\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5fc5\u5c06\u4e8e\u4e0b\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u5728\u91cd\u8981\u9886\u57df\u8fbe\u5230\u4e16\u754c\u9886\u5148\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u672c\u571f\u51fa\u751f\u3001\u6210\u957f\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u672c\u571f\u51fa\u6210\u679c\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u8981\u83b7\u5f97\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5956\uff0c\u4ece\u73b0\u5728\u7b97\u8d77\uff0c20\u5e74\u8db3\u591f\u201d\u3002
\u4e01\u8087\u4e2d
1976\u5e7412\u670810\u65e5\uff0c40\u5c81\u7684\u4e01\u8087\u4e2d\u8d74\u745e\u5178\u7687\u5bb6
\u5b66\u9662\u9886\u53d6\u4e86\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u5956\u3002\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5956\u81ea1901\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u9881
\u53d1\uff0c\u4ece\u90a3\u65f6\u5019\u8d77\u81f31976\u5e74\u768475\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e01\u8087\u4e2d\u662f\u7b2c\u4e09\u4f4d
\u91d1\u699c\u63d0\u540d\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u6b64\u9879\u6b8a\u8363\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u8840\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u3002\u5728\u9686\u91cd\u7684\u9881\u5956
\u4eea\u5f0f\u4e0a\uff0c\u4ed6\u5148\u7528\u6c49\u8bed\u7136\u540e\u7528\u82f1\u8bed\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u8457\u540d\u7684\u6f14\u8bb2\u3002\u4ed6\u8bf4\u201c
\u5f97\u5230\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5956\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u6700\u5927\u7684\u8363\u8a89\uff0c\u6211\u662f\u5728\u65e7\u4e2d\u56fd\u957f\u5927
\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u60f3\u501f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u673a\u4f1a\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9752\u5e74\u4eec\u5f3a\u8c03\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5de5\u4f5c
\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6709\u53e5\u53e4\u8bed\uff1a\u2018\u52b3\u5fc3\u8005\u6cbb\u4eba\uff0c\u52b3\u529b\u8005\u6cbb\u4e8e\u4eba
\u2019\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u843d\u540e\u7684\u601d\u60f3\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9752\u5e74\u4eec\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u5bb3\u5904
\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u79cd\u601d\u60f3\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5b66\u751f\u4eec\u90fd\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u7406\u8bba\u7814
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随着气候变暖，近50年来，我国沿海的海平面不断上升，年均上升2.5毫米，略高于全球平均水平，极端天气气候事件的频率和强度也发生了明显变化。
科学家们预计，在全球变暖的背景下，未来20到100年，我国的气温还将继续升高，预计到2020年，我国年平均气温将可能变暖0.5—0.7摄氏度。
与此同时，科学家们预计我国降水量也将呈增加趋势。预计到2020年，我国平均年降水量略有增加，到2050年将增加2％—5％，到2100年将增加6％—14％。海平面也将继续上升，预计到2050年约上升12—50厘米。
科学家们还预计，未来100年，我国极端天气气候事件的发生频率可能增大，干旱区范围可能扩大，荒漠化可能加重；青藏高原和天山冰川将加速退缩，一些小冰川将消失。预计到2050年，我国西北的冰川面积将显著减少。
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